Marquense vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
XIN
0 - 3
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 0
RET
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
HAL
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
VEN
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
SPD
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SPD
2 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |