Marquense vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 1
LEO
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LEO
0 - 3
COM
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
JAL
3 - 1
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
MUN
2 - 1
LEO
61%
20%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LEO
0 - 2
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
DEP
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
3 - 2
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CON
1 - 4
MUN
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |