Marquense vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
COA
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 2
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
IZT
0 - 0
LEO
33%
29%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
IZT
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
HAL
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |