Marquense vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
9º
0
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 41 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 36 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 35 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 32 |
4º
|
6% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 32 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 30 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 30 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
0 | 29 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 29 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 27 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 23 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
63% | 67.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ANT
3 - 0
LEO
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LEO
4 - 1
CDP
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
COB
0 - 1
MIX
48%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ANT
4 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COB
2 - 1
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
COB
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |