Maroons FC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
MFC
53%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 0
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
WAK
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
UPD
49%
24%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 2
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIP
2 - 1
SCV
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 1
BUL
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MHF
1 - 0
SCV
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 2
MCF
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |