Marnate Nizzolina vs Busto 81 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marnate Nizzolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAS
4 - 0
MAR
81%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALC
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
MAR
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
UNI
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Busto 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BUS
1 - 3
UNI
45%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
BUS
39%
23%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUS
1 - 1
GAV
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UBO
0 - 1
BUS
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |