Mármol Macael vs UD Fuengirola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
XER
0 - 0
MMA
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MMA
3 - 2
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
BEN
1 - 0
MMA
48%
30%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 2
ELC
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fuengirola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
EST
1 - 1
UDF
72%
16%
11%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
UDF
0 - 3
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
UDF
1 - 1
BAZ
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ATA
2 - 1
UDF
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
UDF
1 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |