Mármol Macael vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
MMA
1 - 1
GRA
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
UDS
1 - 1
MMA
45%
29%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 3
MMA
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 2
XER
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 0
MMA
57%
26%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
RJA
0 - 1
YEC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
CAD
2 - 0
RJA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
RJA
4 - 1
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
POL
0 - 2
RJA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |