Mármol Macael vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
BAZ
3 - 3
MMA
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
MMA
2 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
EST
2 - 2
MMA
48%
26%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
MMA
2 - 1
MOT
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
CAR
1 - 2
MMA
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
MEL
0 - 0
IME
67%
21%
12%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
UDS
4 - 2
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
MEL
3 - 0
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
BAL
3 - 3
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAL
61%
24%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |