Mármol Macael vs Manilva-Sabinillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
G74
2 - 1
MMA
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
MMA
1 - 2
SIS
65%
20%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
MMA
0 - 0
ROC
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
POL
4 - 0
MMA
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
MMA
1 - 1
VAN
51%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manilva-Sabinillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 0
POL
19%
25%
56%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
VAN
2 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ARE
2 - 3
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 1
UBE
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |