Mármol Macael vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
UBE
0 - 2
MMA
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
MMA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
26%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
G74
1 - 1
MMA
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MMA
2 - 0
MAR
74%
18%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ANT
2 - 1
MMA
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
LOJ
0 - 0
ILI
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
LOJ
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
LOJ
0 - 0
VAN
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
UDS
1 - 0
LOJ
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LOJ
1 - 3
VEL
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |