Mármol Macael vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
MMA
2 - 0
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
MAL
3 - 1
MMA
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
MMA
4 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
MMA
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
MMA
2 - 0
JUV
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
BAE
0 - 2
UBE
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
ROQ
3 - 3
BAE
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
BAE
2 - 2
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CDL
1 - 1
BAE
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
BAE
1 - 2
UDS
17%
25%
58%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |