Mármol Macael vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
MOT
4 - 0
MMA
23%
30%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
MMA
1 - 3
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
3 - 0
MMA
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MMA
0 - 1
UDF
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
BAE
5 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ATA
1 - 2
BAE
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BAE
1 - 3
GRA
90%
9%
2%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
CDL
3 - 0
BAE
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
BAE
1 - 1
G74
33%
27%
40%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |