Mármol Macael vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
MMA
0 - 1
MAL
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
GUA
1 - 2
MMA
30%
30%
40%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1992 |
MMA
2 - 1
CDB
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MOT
0 - 3
MMA
14%
28%
59%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
MMA
3 - 0
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
ALM
2 - 1
BAE
80%
13%
6%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
BAE
3 - 2
ILI
34%
29%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1992 |
ATA
4 - 1
BAE
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MAL
2 - 1
BAE
81%
13%
5%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 0
GUA
31%
30%
40%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |