Mármol Macael vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
UDS
1 - 1
MMA
34%
30%
37%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
MMA
2 - 0
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
VEL
2 - 1
MMA
41%
29%
30%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
MMA
4 - 0
NER
83%
13%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
MAL
0 - 2
MMA
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
NER
0 - 1
BAE
20%
27%
52%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 2
ILI
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
ATA
2 - 1
BAE
48%
26%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 0
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |