Mármol Macael vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 4
MMA
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MMA
2 - 2
GRA
15%
25%
60%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VEL
5 - 0
MMA
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MMA
0 - 1
AND
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
5 - 1
MMA
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 4
LOJ
49%
27%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BAZ
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NIJ
0 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 2
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |