Mármol Macael vs CD Alhaurino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
MMA
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MMA
4 - 2
ROC
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MMA
0 - 0
ARE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LOJ
2 - 3
MMA
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
MMA
0 - 3
BAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alhaurino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ALH
0 - 2
LOJ
46%
27%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ALH
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NIJ
1 - 0
ALH
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALM
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |