Marly vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
COL
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ECH
3 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
STA
23%
22%
56%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
TPA
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
LYS
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GRU
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 4
LOC
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
THI
5 - 2
GRU
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
BER
57%
20%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |