Marlow FC vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
7 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AYL
1 - 0
MAR
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
AYL
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
THA
4 - 0
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 7
AFD
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AFD
2 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AFD
3 - 0
AYL
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AFD
2 - 1
UXB
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
AFD
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |