Marítimo vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
MAR
4 - 1
VST
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCB
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |