Marítimo vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPB
32%
29%
38%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
BEL
3 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACA
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |