Marítimo vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAR
46%
29%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAR
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 0
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SPB
0 - 1
SCP
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
18%
22%
61%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 2
SPB
11%
18%
71%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | -1 |