Marítimo vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SCP
4 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
GON
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
GFC
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
PED
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
MOR
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
PEN
53%
26%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |