Marítimo vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOR
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 3
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAL
54%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |