Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-0
Marítimo vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDL
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARO
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 6
CSK
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SSO
2 - 3
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 0
BEI
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |