Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
6 - 0
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPB
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
UNM
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
BJK
3 - 3
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
6 - 0
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 0
DYN
66%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |