Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
ARO
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
13%
22%
66%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
GFC
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |