Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
OLH
0 - 0
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIT
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BMA
4 - 2
MAR
25%
27%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SLB
0 - 0
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 1
LEV
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SIO
2 - 3
SLB
15%
22%
62%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |