Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAR
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
UNM
77%
15%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
GAL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 2
SLB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |