Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
VST
3 - 2
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 2
OLH
61%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 1
AEK
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |