Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
BMA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 1
GFC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
BOA
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
SLB
3 - 1
GFC
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |