Marítimo vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 2
VST
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
UDL
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 4
VST
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
RIO
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |