Marítimo vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 1
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |