Marítimo III vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
GAF
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 3
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 0
GOU
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GOU
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
GOU
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 0
CAM
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |