Marítimo III vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIB
4 - 0
GOU
75%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
GOU
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 2
ANA
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
GOU
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |