Marítimo III vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ANA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAN
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
GAF
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 0
ANA
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
GAF
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 1
CES
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |