Marítimo II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 4
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAM
1 - 1
MAR
75%
18%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 1
VAR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
VAR
19%
25%
55%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |