Marítimo II vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
7 - 1
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUS
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 1
SPO
91%
7%
2%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
RDA
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
PEN
83%
13%
5%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |