Marítimo II vs Lusitania FC analysis

Marítimo II Lusitania FC
39 ELO 39
-3.5% Tilt 2.1%
8093º General ELO ranking 2671º
190º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Marítimo II
23.1%
Draw
23.7%
Lusitania FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
Marítimo II
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
Lusitania FC
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo II
-66%
+20%
Lusitania FC

Points and table prediction

Marítimo II
Their league position
Lusitania FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
13º
49
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marítimo II
Lusitania FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marítimo II
Lusitania FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo II
Marítimo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
GON
Gondomar
1 - 0
Marítimo II
MAR
51%
24%
25%
39 42 3 0
23 Oct. 2022
MAR
Marítimo II
2 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
25%
25%
51%
37 46 9 +2
09 Oct. 2022
REB
Rebordosa
2 - 0
Marítimo II
MAR
11%
16%
73%
39 23 16 -2
25 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marítimo II
1 - 1
Alpendorada
ALP
86%
10%
4%
39 19 20 0
18 Sep. 2022
VAL
Valadares Gaia
2 - 1
Marítimo II
MAR
53%
24%
23%
40 45 5 -1

Matches

Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
LUS
Lusitania FC
4 - 1
Guarda Desportiva
GUA
43%
22%
36%
37 38 1 0
23 Oct. 2022
LUS
Lusitania FC
3 - 3
Resende
RES
80%
13%
7%
37 22 15 0
09 Oct. 2022
GON
Gondomar
0 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
64%
21%
15%
37 42 5 0
25 Sep. 2022
LUS
Lusitania FC
0 - 1
SC Salgueiros
SAL
27%
25%
48%
37 45 8 0
18 Sep. 2022
REB
Rebordosa
2 - 1
Lusitania FC
LUS
14%
20%
66%
39 20 19 -2