Marítimo II vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
5º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BMA
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
GON
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
REB
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |