Marítimo II vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
49%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIN
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
COI
2 - 1
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PED
1 - 1
AMA
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
AMA
8%
16%
76%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CIN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEX
3 - 1
AMA
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |