Marítimo Graciosa vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo Graciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RAB
3 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
ANG
12%
19%
70%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PRA
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PRA
4 - 2
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAN
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
IDE
3 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
IDE
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
IDE
4 - 2
FAB
14%
21%
64%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 4
IDE
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 1
PRA
22%
25%
54%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |