Marisca Mersch vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 1
JEU
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RUM
4 - 0
MAR
26%
20%
54%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
F91
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
JEU
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
F91
1 - 0
SWI
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 1
DIF
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSM
2 - 3
SWI
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
USM
0 - 2
SWI
27%
24%
48%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |