Marisca Mersch vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BWI
0 - 4
MAR
4%
10%
86%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 2
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
KAE
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
RAC
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LXC
1 - 3
DIF
5%
11%
83%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
3 - 1
JEU
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
F91
2 - 2
DIF
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
2 - 2
DIF
25%
24%
50%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 1
USM
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |