Marisca Mersch vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
MAR
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
MLI
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MER
0 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
FEU
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DIF
4 - 2
LXC
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
F91
3 - 0
DIF
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DIF
2 - 3
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 4
DIF
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
DIF
3 - 1
UKT
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |