Marisca Mersch vs Daring Echternach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 3
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 5
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 2
WIN
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
COL
0 - 4
MAR
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Daring Echternach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ORA
4 - 0
DCE
53%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DCE
0 - 3
FCA
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DCE
2 - 4
ATE
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 1
DCE
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
DCE
1 - 0
HOS
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |