Mario Zanconti vs Gavarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mario Zanconti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LEM
1 - 2
MAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PON
1 - 0
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gavarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GAV
4 - 1
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
GAV
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 2
ALB
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
GAV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
GAV
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |