Marino vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
YAI
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDM
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 0
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UDS
2 - 0
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
UDS
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
COT
3 - 2
UDS
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
UDS
1 - 0
UNV
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |