Marino vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CDM
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VER
1 - 2
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
CDB
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UDS
4 - 0
GUI
76%
14%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
UDS
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UDS
6 - 0
COT
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HCF
1 - 4
UDS
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAR
20%
25%
56%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |