Marino vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
CDS
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
TAM
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
MAR
1 - 1
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
RUT
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
LAN
3 - 3
GUI
49%
27%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAN
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
LAN
3 - 1
CDT
63%
22%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 2
LAN
43%
28%
30%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
LAN
1 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |